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Analysis Taiwan

Understanding the Deterrence Gap In the Taiwan Strait

What is stopping China from invading Taiwan? In the past, it was overdetermined that Beijing would not use force to compel reunification. Today, however, the military balance of power has shifted decisively. It is now something of a conventional wisdom that a Chinese invasion has become more likely than not.

War on the Rocks | 12 Feb 2024

  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Economics
  • Tech

Analysis Kosovo

Banning The Dinar, Kosovo Tries To Sever Lifeline

It’s a tough sell. Tens of thousands of ethnic Serbs who live and work in Kosovo but stubbornly reject the country’s official currency have a week to ditch the dinar in their daily lives.

Radio Free Europe | 24 Jan 2024

  • Balkans
  • Money
  • Economics
  • Politics

Analysis Transnistria

Has Transnistria Entered Its Last Year With Russia’s Gas Subsidy?

A large share of Transnistria’s economy, including most of its budget, depends on a structural subsidy it receives from Russia in the form of free gas. As Ukraine has promised to stop all Russian pipelines going through its territory by the end of 2024, how will Transnistria cope?

BalcaniCaucaso | 18 Jan 2024

  • Europe
  • Economics
  • Politics

Analysis Bougainville

Bougainville’s Destructive Goldmine Could Also Be Its Key to Independence

While Bougainville’s Panguna mine was abandoned decades ago, mining has not stopped in the area. Families have set up makeshift houses in the gaping pit, and men, women and children pass their days digging for whatever gold and copper they can reach.

ABC News | 7 Jun 2023

  • Pacific
  • Economics
  • Nature

News Bougainville

Panguna mine at centre of bloody Bougainville conflict set to reopen after 30 years

Local government hopes reopening of mine – once world’s most profitable – will support bid for independence from Papua New Guinea

The Guardian | 11 Feb 2022

  • Pacific
  • Nature
  • Economics
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